Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.000425 0.000473 0.000525 0.000589 0.000662 0.000746 0.000849
2024-12-22 0.000345 0.000409 0.000486 0.000586 0.000715 0.000881 0.001113
2024-12-29 0.000301 0.000372 0.000463 0.000592 0.000772 0.001025 0.001423
2025-01-05 0.000271 0.000347 0.000449 0.000601 0.000830 0.001180 0.001789
2025-01-12 0.000243 0.000319 0.000425 0.000590 0.000854 0.001284 0.002107
2025-01-19 0.000228 0.000307 0.000422 0.000608 0.000923 0.001476 0.002648
2025-01-26 0.000206 0.000282 0.000394 0.000583 0.000915 0.001531 0.002939
2025-02-02 0.000193 0.000270 0.000386 0.000587 0.000958 0.001688 0.003523
2025-02-09 0.000185 0.000263 0.000385 0.000603 0.001025 0.001913 0.004389
2025-02-16 0.000178 0.000256 0.000382 0.000616 0.001087 0.002146 0.005427
2025-02-23 0.000172 0.000253 0.000385 0.000638 0.001174 0.002464 0.006981
2025-03-02 0.000165 0.000245 0.000379 0.000644 0.001225 0.002710 0.008514
2025-03-09 0.000154 0.000231 0.000363 0.000627 0.001228 0.002846 0.009823
2025-03-16 0.000146 0.000223 0.000355 0.000628 0.001275 0.003133 0.012275
2025-03-23 0.000140 0.000216 0.000351 0.000636 0.001341 0.003513 0.015969
2025-03-30 0.000135 0.000211 0.000348 0.000647 0.001417 0.003974 0.021401
2025-04-06 0.000128 0.000202 0.000336 0.000635 0.001430 0.004210 0.025874
2025-04-13 0.000125 0.000199 0.000337 0.000655 0.001537 0.004898 0.037838
2025-04-20 0.000117 0.000188 0.000320 0.000627 0.001498 0.004933 0.042253
2025-04-27 0.000113 0.000183 0.000316 0.000632 0.001559 0.005481 0.058456
2025-05-04 0.000111 0.000181 0.000317 0.000649 0.001669 0.006374 0.092818
2025-05-11 0.000108 0.000179 0.000317 0.000663 0.001771 0.007336 0.151973
2025-05-18 0.000107 0.000178 0.000321 0.000688 0.001921 0.008793 0.304762